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Tucson MLS 24-Hour Change Statistics for 2/26/2009

New Listings 99
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Back on Market 15
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Price Increases 11
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Price Reductions 117
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Contingents 38
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Pendings 42
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Solds 59
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Expireds 19
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Inactives 42
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Tucson Downtown Arena Proposed Again – 3rd Time a Charm?

This article about the Stockton Arena is from yesterday’s AZ Daily Star. I have been thinking about it since then and hadn’t posted because I wasn’t quite sure what to make of it.  Tucson has been through this downtown arena talk twice before already and it’s become a running joke among Tucsonans, along with Rio Nuevo. Check out the following timeline:

DOWNTOWN ARENA TIMELINE

OCTOBER 2003: Although not part of the Rio Nuevo ballot measure approved by voters, talk begins about building a new arena Downtown.
JANUARY 2004: The City Council votes 4-3 to solicit proposals from developers for a new arena.
AUGUST 2004: The city selects an arena development team led by Texas-based Garfield Traub.
MARCH 2007: Downtown landowner Allan Norville unveils plans to build a Downtown arena and gem-show exhibit hall. Two days later, the city releases plans for a new arena shaped like a desert tortoise shell.
APRIL 2007: The City Council unexpectedly approves the $130 million tortoise-shell arena with no public notice or input.
APRIL 2008: A public-records request by the Arizona Daily Star showed costs for the tortoise arena had ballooned to $196 million.
MAY 2008: The City Council kills the tortoise-shell arena because of the cost. It voted to negotiate with Norville to build a smaller arena on his land, but the deal is never finalized.
FEBRUARY 2009: With no money to buy Norville’s land, the city moves the arena to a third site and is set to choose the arena’s architect and operator.

Here are the latest glamour shots courtesy of the Daily Star:

stockton arena tucson1 533x400 Tucson Downtown Arena Proposed Again   3rd Time a Charm?
stock arena location 531x400 Tucson Downtown Arena Proposed Again   3rd Time a Charm?

So while I love the pictures, I’ll hold my sincere excitement until we see a little more progress (actually breaking ground would satisfy me).

Here are your stats for today:

New Listings 134
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Back on Market 18
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Price Increases 10
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Price Reductions 147
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Contingents 52
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Pendings 25
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Solds 48
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Expireds 24
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Inactives 40
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Tucson MLS 24-Hour Change Statistics for 2/24/2009

With this record setting Tucson weather we’re having I thought it would be prudent to provide the following graphic in case you or someone you know experiences heat stroke (or just a long day at work). I feel like doing this right now!heat emergencies Tucson MLS 24 Hour Change Statistics for 2/24/2009

New Listings 145
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Back on Market 38
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Price Increases 7
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Price Reductions 167
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Contingents 57
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Pendings 23
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Solds 49
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Expireds 19
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Inactives 51
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Phoenix Housing Prices Lower Than Tucson

Yep you read that headline right, check out this article from today’s Arizona Daily Star.

tucsonvsphoenixhomeprices 600x362 Phoenix Housing Prices Lower Than Tucson

Meanwhile, in Tucson, the median price of a resale home in January was $160,000, said John L. Strobeck, who tracks real estate data for Southern Arizona.

“I sort of look at Phoenix as being like Tucson, but on steroids,” Strobeck said. “They have higher and lower swings.”Most in the housing and real estate business described the pricing flip as an anomaly that eventually will adjust back to normal as the market stabilizes. But at least one analyst wondered if the recent steep decline in prices for the Phoenix market spells trouble for home prices in Tucson.

Both markets have seen sharp declines in prices, but Maricopa County’s market has plunged much further because there was far more speculative development and there have been far more foreclosures.

“The market was hot in the Phoenix, Maricopa County, Pinal County area much sooner and longer than it was in Tucson,” said Jay Butler, director of realty studies at ASU. “Tucson was just beginning to get into the hypermarket when this whole thing started to collapse.”

….

Strobeck, who compiles and analyzes Southern Arizona housing data as owner of Bright Future Business Consultants, also sees no connection between what is happening in Phoenix and in Tucson.”I don’t think Tucson follows Phoenix in much of any way at all. They are two different markets,” he said.

“I think once we get through all this, we will go back to ‘normality.’ And I think probably just because of the fact that Phoenix’s population is greater — they have more churn of companies and better job creation than we do in Tucson — we will eventually go back to where (pricing) was.”

lvhousebubble Phoenix Housing Prices Lower Than TucsonI’ve done some business with John Strobeck and respect his analyses of market conditions. His comparison of Phoenix being like Tucson on steroids is spot on (in my opinion) especially considering that foreclosures are already beginning to thin out in the Tucson market.

It will be interesting to see just how far housing prices fall in Phoenix especially as it appears that Las Vegas is still feeling the after-effects of the housing boom. Median prices there dropped 48% year-over-year and the number of foreclosures continues to rise.

If Phoenix is Tucson on steroids, then maybe Las Vegas is Phoenix on steroids? Guess we’ll have to wait and see.

Tucson MLS 24-Hour Change Statistics

New Listings 29
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Back on Market 5
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Price Increases 2
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Price Reductions 35
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Contingents 15
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Pendings 13
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Solds 11
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Expireds 46
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Inactives 15
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Tucson MLS 24-Hour Change Statistics for 2/21/2009

New Listings 38
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Back on Market 6
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Price Increases 4
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Price Reductions 58
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Contingents 20
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Pendings 12
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Solds 11
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Expireds 46
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Inactives 12
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